An intelligence analysis of voter sentiment conducted by former President Donald Trump’s former campaign manager–among others–shows businessman and retired Navy SEAL Tim Sheehy surging in the Montana GOP Senate primary and Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-MT), a possible candidate, in complete free fall.
The analysis also shows West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice dominating the GOP primary in the Senate race in that state.
“An analysis of voter sentiment by Media Intelligence Group found that both Navy SEAL Tim Sheehy and Governor Jim Justice are well-positioned to win their respective primaries,” the memo from Media Intelligence Group’s Tyler Q. Houlton and Campaign Nucleus’s Brad Parscale reads. “Sheehy has seen dramatic growth in his support since he began advertising on Montana broadcast television. Meanwhile, Justice’s lead has proven resilient in the West Virginia Senate race.”
The memo, addressed to “interested parties,” was obtained exclusively by Breitbart News ahead of its public release. Parscale, one of its authors, was at one time during the 2020 cycle Trump’s campaign manager.
Specifically about Montana, the memo explains that since entering the race earlier this summer Sheehy has completely flipped the state of the race on its head. Rosendale has yet to enter the race, though many reports expect he might do so—but GOP leaders are hopeful that Sheehy will defeat him because many are concerned Rosendale would have trouble winning a general election given that he lost this exact Senate seat five years ago to incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT).
Rosendale has run into other major problems too, including when he refused to take Trump’s phone call in January during the Speakership election. A now-infamous image of Rosendale giving “the Heisman” to Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) shows him snubbing Trump. Rosendale has since refused to endorse Trump, while Sheehy has endorsed the former president. Trump, in turn, has reportedly told Rosendale he will not be supporting him for Senate if he runs.
“Since launching his campaign, Tim Sheehy has seen his support grow from the mid-thirties to 64%,” the memo reads, and continues:
Since mid-July, Matt Rosendale his seen his support fall from the mid-sixties to 36%. Sheehy’s growth has been propelled by voters reacting positively to his current advertising campaign and general growth in name-ID. Matt Rosendale’s image has taken a hit due to a perception that he is anti-veteran and his continued refusal to endorse President Trump’s reelection bid.
Read more from the original publication HERE.